BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) is experiencing a period of historically low volatility, making it increasingly attractive to large, risk-averse investors who view bitcoin more as “digital gold” than a speculative asset.
According to Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, IBIT’s 90-day rolling volatility has reached 47.64—the lowest since the ETF launched in January 2024. This reduction in price swings encourages more institutional money to flow in, which further suppresses volatility in a reinforcing cycle.
Balchunas noted on social media platform X, “When volatility drops, it invites bigger investors, which pushes volatility even lower. We expect similar patterns in asset correlations as well. This is the influence of the growing ‘suitcoiners’ crowd.”
IBIT has enjoyed substantial inflows, gathering $49 billion since inception—over four times the assets invested in Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), which holds less than $12 billion, based on Farside Investors data.
In contrast, Strategy (MSTR), which prioritizes bitcoin accumulation, continues to appeal more to speculative traders who prefer higher volatility environments. However, even MSTR’s implied volatility has eased to around 60%, with historical volatility at 49%, resulting in more subdued price fluctuations.
This dynamic underscores a bifurcation in the bitcoin market: institutional investors seeking stable, long-term exposure via IBIT, and speculators maintaining volatility in other bitcoin-related securities.























