Bitcoin Approaching Historic Outperformance Against the Nasdaq

Bitcoin (BTC) is nearing a critical breakout relative to the Nasdaq 100 Composite, with the BTC/Nasdaq ratio now standing at 4.96. This means that one Bitcoin is now worth nearly five times the value of a Nasdaq unit. The previous record of 5.08 was set earlier in January 2025, when Bitcoin briefly reached its all-time high of over $109,000.

This trend of Bitcoin outpacing the Nasdaq has been a recurring theme in multiple market cycles, with significant peaks in 2017, 2021, and now 2025, demonstrating Bitcoin’s continued strength compared to traditional tech stocks.

In terms of performance, Bitcoin is diverging significantly from U.S. tech stocks across different timeframes. Year-to-date, Bitcoin has only dropped 6%, whereas the Nasdaq has fallen 15%. Additionally, since Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024, Bitcoin has rallied 30%, while the Nasdaq has seen a 12% decline.

Against the “Magnificent Seven” — the group of top tech stocks — Bitcoin remains approximately 20% off its February 2025 peak. This suggests Bitcoin has shown strong resilience, even as the top-performing tech names hold up better than the broader Nasdaq Composite.

Another point of comparison is MicroStrategy (MSTR), which offers exposure to Bitcoin. Since joining the QQQ ETF on December 23, MSTR has dropped just 11%, while the ETF has seen a larger 16% decline. This divergence has continued in 2025, with MSTR up 6% year-to-date, while the QQQ ETF has lost 15%.