Flight to Safety Sends ETH/BTC Ratio to Multi-Year Low, According to Van Straten

Ethereum Lags Behind Bitcoin as Market Turns Defensive

Ethereum (ETH) has fallen sharply behind Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025, with the ETH/BTC ratio plunging to 0.02191, its lowest level since May 2020. That means one ETH is now worth just over 2% of a bitcoin—marking a significant decline in relative value.

So far this year, ETH has underperformed BTC by 39%, a notable deviation from past market cycles. Historically, Ethereum has often outperformed in the months following Bitcoin’s reward halving events. But this time, things have flipped. Since the April 2024 halving, which slashed miner rewards by half, Bitcoin has rallied while Ethereum has struggled.

Why the divergence? Investors are playing defense. With fears of a global trade war, sticky inflation, and rising bond yields, traders are flocking to safer assets. In the crypto world, Bitcoin is increasingly seen as the digital equivalent of gold—liquid, secure, and resilient. Ether, with its more complex ecosystem and exposure to DeFi and staking risks, is seen as riskier in comparison.

The numbers reflect the shift. This is one of Ethereum’s worst quarters versus Bitcoin in years, echoing Q3 2019, when ETH slid 46% against BTC. At the same time, Solana (SOL) is proving to be a standout performer. The SOLETH ratio, which compares SOL’s value to ETH, has climbed 24% this year, despite SOL being down 35% in absolute terms.

ETH’s declining dominance raises questions about its role in portfolios going forward. Is this a temporary macro-driven rotation, or a sign of deeper structural changes in crypto investor sentiment?

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