Crypto Week Ahead provides a snapshot of the key developments in digital assets and the macroeconomic events likely to steer market sentiment. (Readers can also sign up for Crypto Daybook Americas for daily updates on what to watch.)

The final week of March is expected to be eventful. The FTX Recovery Trust is set to distribute $2.2 billion to creditors on Tuesday, while the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls report is due Friday — a day when many global equity markets will be closed for Good Friday.

Geopolitical tensions remain a major factor. The Middle East conflict, now in its fifth week, has disrupted critical energy infrastructure and transport routes, pushing inflation expectations higher and complicating the outlook for monetary policy.

“Bitcoin, a highly reflexive and liquidity-sensitive asset, typically responds early to changes in risk appetite and has already repriced lower since October 2025,” said Luke Deans, senior research associate at Bitwise. “This indicates digital assets began adjusting to tighter financial conditions ahead of many traditional markets.”

Deans added that global macro dynamics continue to drive overall sentiment. While liquidity will influence price action, the broader environment remains fragile amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.