Bitcoin Eyes $5K Swing as White House Crypto Summit Sparks Market Jitters: STS Digital

Options data suggests traders are bracing for major volatility in BTC, ETH, and SOL after Friday’s event.

Bitcoin (BTC) could experience a $5,000 price move in the wake of the upcoming White House crypto summit, according to STS Digital. The firm’s analysis of Deribit options pricing shows heightened implied volatility (IV), signaling that traders anticipate a turbulent weekend.

The summit, hosted by President Donald Trump, will bring together industry leaders—including Coinbase, Chainlink, and Exodus—to discuss crypto policy and regulation. Speculation is swirling that Trump could unveil plans for a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve, pivoting from previous discussions about a broader basket of crypto assets, including XRP, ADA, SOL, BTC, and ETH.

Options Market Signals Incoming Volatility

According to STS Digital’s Jeff Anderson, traders are pricing in uncertainty, with option premiums spiking ahead of the event:

• BTC options expiring Friday: 56% implied volatility (IV)
• BTC options expiring Saturday: 80% IV
• ETH & SOL options also showing heightened volatility

This suggests a potential price swing of ±$5,000 for BTC, along with ±$135 for ETH and ±$13 for SOL between Friday and Saturday.

Traders Beware: Market Reactions Can Be Unpredictable

Despite the expectations for a major move, Anderson cautions that crypto markets often overprice volatility heading into high-profile events:

“Crypto traders frequently anticipate large moves that don’t fully materialize. While implied volatility is high, actual market movement may fall short of expectations.”

Post-Summit Outlook: Volatility Decay Expected

Once the summit concludes, options pricing may normalize, as traders shift focus to longer-term trends and policy developments. For now, however, all eyes are on Washington, as the summit could shape the next chapter of the crypto industry.