Why Are Traders Betting Big on Bitcoin Shorts Amid Record-Breaking BTC Prices?

Bitcoin Rockets Past $110K While Traders Ramp Up Aggressive Short Bets

Bitcoin smashed through the $110,000 mark on Thursday, setting a new all-time high and triggering about $500 million in derivatives liquidations. Yet, a surprising number of traders remain cautious, taking aggressive short positions despite the rally.

Trading volume surged by 74% over the last 24 hours as market participants raced to adjust their positions. However, data from Coinalyze shows the long-to-short ratio has dropped to its lowest since September 2022—during the depths of the crypto winter—indicating a significant lean toward bearish bets.

This shift began on April 21, when traders started heavily shorting Bitcoin’s breakout above $85,000, anticipating that level as the cycle peak and predicting a double top formation. Nevertheless, Bitcoin defied these expectations, steadily climbing and breaking past key resistance points at $97,000 and $105,000.

Multiple factors have propelled the rally, including a recovery in U.S. equities after easing tariff concerns, rising institutional participation on exchanges such as CME, and a hefty load of short positions ripe for a squeeze, which further accelerated the price upwards.

Ironically, these short positions are acting as fuel for the rally by providing targets for stop-loss hunting and forcing short sellers to cover, boosting buying pressure as witnessed earlier this week.

Entering short positions near record highs is a common tactic—traders often short at resistance zones, placing stop losses slightly above to limit risk. For instance, those who shorted near $105,000 during Bitcoin’s repeated tests of that level could have profited from subsequent pullbacks to around $102,000, and even if stopped out at $109,000, may still have ended the week profitable.

Open interest in BTC derivatives also tells an intriguing story. While BTC’s price increased by 4.8% in 24 hours, open interest jumped 17%, even after millions in liquidations. This suggests that leveraged bets are driving much of the current momentum, raising questions about the breakout’s durability compared to the earlier moves above $100,000 in late 2024 and early 2025.

Whether traders will keep adding to short positions as Bitcoin pushes above $111,000 remains uncertain, but the mountain of shorts on the books could provide ample fuel for future short squeezes if the rally persists.


  • Related Posts

    JPMorgan Upholds Bitcoin Target of $170K Tied to Gold, Unfazed by Recent Decline

    Despite recent sharp declines in Bitcoin’s price, Wall Street giant JPMorgan remains confident in its volatility-adjusted BTC-to-gold model, maintaining a theoretical target of around $170,000 over the next six to…

    Continue reading
    Crypto Markets Update: Bitcoin Dips to $91K Amid Rising ETF Outflows and Growing Market Concern

    Bitcoin’s early-week rally faltered as heavy ETF outflows, aggressive derivatives deleveraging, and muted altcoin responses weighed on the broader crypto market. During the European morning session, Bitcoin (BTC) slid to…

    Continue reading