Asia Morning Briefing: CryptoQuant Flags Declining Bitcoin Treasury Demand

Bitcoin treasury holdings are at all-time highs, but a sharp reduction in average purchase sizes suggests institutions are becoming more cautious, even as Asia gears up for a new wave of treasury funds.

Onchain data from CryptoQuant shows treasury companies collectively hold around 840,000 BTC this year, dominated by Strategy with 637,000 BTC. Yet, the average purchase size has fallen dramatically—Strategy acquired just 1,200 BTC per transaction in August, while peers averaged 343 BTC, both down roughly 86% from early 2025 peaks.

The shift reflects a striking divergence: while transaction counts remain elevated—53 deals in June and 46 in August—the total purchased per deal has shrunk significantly. Strategy bought only 3,700 BTC in August versus 134,000 BTC at its peak last year, while other firms dropped to 14,800 BTC from highs of 66,000 BTC.

The data points to continued activity but far smaller allocations, suggesting liquidity constraints and more cautious positioning. That matters for investors: CoinDesk Indices show bitcoin’s sharp gains in the second quarter were largely fueled by treasury accumulation. At one point in August, institutions were absorbing 3,100 BTC per day against a supply of just 450 mined, creating a 6:1 imbalance that drove prices higher.

With demand now moderating, analysts warn that current price resilience may prove less sustainable if treasuries continue to scale back their purchases.

Still, the sector is expanding. Bitwise reports that 28 new treasury companies were established in July and August alone, collectively adding more than 140,000 BTC. Meanwhile, Taiwan-based Sora Ventures has announced a $1 billion fund—starting with $200 million in seed capital—to help establish regional treasury firms. Unlike Asia’s largest public treasury player Metaplanet, which directly holds 20,000 BTC, Sora’s vehicle will pool institutional money to back multiple entrants.

Whether Asia’s emerging treasuries can offset the shrinking appetite of incumbents is now the key question shaping the next phase of institutional bitcoin adoption.

Market Snapshot

  • BTC: Holding firm at $110K–$113K, supported by Fed rate cut expectations, ETF inflows, and improved sentiment.
  • ETH: Trading near $4,300, down 3.8% weekly amid ETF outflows and seasonal September weakness. Longer-term outlook remains bullish with targets of $4,600–$5,000 if resistance breaks.
  • Gold: Hitting fresh records as weak U.S. jobs data, Fed easing bets, dollar softness, and central bank demand boost safe-haven flows.
  • Nikkei 225: Up 1.5% after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigned following electoral defeat, lifting Asia-Pacific markets.

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