Bitcoin Regains Ground as Oil Slide Revives Risk-On Sentiment

Bitcoin recovered to around $86,000 after an earlier dip toward $85,000 in Asian trading, while falling crude prices and firmer equity markets helped create a more supportive backdrop for risk assets.

BTC was last quoted near $86,008.15. The cryptocurrency moved firmly above its May high on Monday, extending its recent advance. The CoinDesk 20 Index gained 2.2% over 24 hours.

Institutional flows added to the positive tone. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs brought in nearly $1 billion Monday, recording their strongest single-day inflow since October 2025.

Oil prices continued their decline, with WTI futures falling more than 2% to below $90 a barrel. The move extended the retreat from a recent high of $106 and followed a Kyodo report that Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if Washington eased its blockade.

A prolonged decline in oil could help moderate inflation and reduce expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening. That dynamic could also improve sentiment toward risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, said crypto benefited from gains in the Nasdaq, lower oil prices and Treasury yields, stronger global equity markets and optimism around U.S.-China discussions.

Risk-taking was particularly visible among meme tokens. PEPE, DOGE and SHIB were among the 10 biggest gainers over the previous 24 hours, a move that can indicate increased speculative interest across crypto markets.

Futures Activity Rises

Crypto derivatives trading accelerated, although open interest did not increase at the same pace. Futures volume jumped 38% to $292 billion over 24 hours, while aggregate OI increased just 1% to $157 billion.

The market also recorded $768 million in liquidations, with short positions accounting for most of the forced closures. The combination of high turnover and relatively limited OI growth points to short-covering as a major contributor to the latest rally.

Bitcoin futures OI rose alongside the spot price to 716,000 BTC, the highest level since Aug. 25. However, positioning remains below the roughly 750,000 BTC average recorded between April and July.

Ether and Solana traders continue to show less appetite for leverage. ETH has outpaced BTC this quarter, but ether futures OI remains on the declining trend that started in May. SOL has followed the same direction.

XRP futures OI moved higher, reaching 2.46 billion tokens from 2.2 billion within 24 hours. The increase resembles bitcoin’s positioning shift but is occurring from a smaller base.

Whale positioning remains mixed between assets. CoinGlass data show a bearish 24-hour whale bias for XRP, DOGE and gold, compared with an extremely bullish reading for BTC and bullish readings for ETH and SOL. Whale flows are only one component of market behavior, but the divergence has coincided with BTC outperforming XRP, DOGE and gold.

Cumulative volume delta adjusted for open interest is negative across BTC, ETH, XRP and SOL. This means aggressive sell orders in futures have exceeded aggressive buy orders even as prices have advanced. Most major tokens show similar readings, with TRX among the exceptions.

The pattern supports the idea that short covering, rather than a broad wave of new long positioning, has helped drive the rally. However, CVD is exchange-specific and can be noisy, so it is not a standalone measure of market direction.

Dogecoin’s derivatives market has seen the largest leverage increase among the top 10 cryptocurrencies. DOGE OI rose 10% over 24 hours, highlighting a rise in speculative positioning. Historically, rapidly increasing leverage in meme tokens has sometimes accompanied periods of elevated market speculation.

Volatility measures remain relatively subdued. The 30-day annualized implied volatility gauges BVIV and EVIV are still within recent ranges and remain well below their February and early-June highs.

Laser Digital said the options volatility curve has flattened since last week as realized volatility increased and spot-volatility correlation turned decisively positive.

Deribit’s front-end risk reversals also moved strongly toward BTC and ETH calls late Monday after bitcoin broke above $85,000. The call premium has since eased.

Among the most active bitcoin options were calls at $90,000 and $95,000, while ether call activity was concentrated between $2,500 and $3,000.

ZetaChain Heads Toward Solana

ZetaChain holders have voted to discontinue the blockchain and migrate the ZETA token to Solana. The plan still needs another governance vote before implementation.

ZetaChain launched in 2023 after raising $27 million, with a focus on enabling transactions between blockchains that otherwise have limited interoperability. ZETA currently ranks around No. 313 by market capitalization, at roughly $90 million.

The shutdown proposal won more than 99% support Sunday with 58% voter turnout, above the 40% participation requirement.

The project’s developers have cited the ongoing cost of blockchain maintenance and security. ZetaChain uses the Cosmos SDK, a shared framework used across numerous networks, meaning vulnerabilities in common components can create additional patching and coordination requirements.

Cosmos Labs disclosed attacks against six chains using related software in August, resulting in about $6 million in stolen assets. ZetaChain was not affected, although the incident reinforced concerns about maintaining the underlying infrastructure.

The planned move is also connected to Anuma, an AI application launched by ZetaChain’s developers in February. The service is designed to preserve user context across different AI models, with the team claiming more than 300,000 users.

Solana’s existing user base, wallet infrastructure and exchange availability were among the reasons for choosing the network. The migration would allow Anuma to tap into an established ecosystem instead of requiring users to bridge into ZetaChain.

Under the proposed system, ZETA holders would lock their tokens in exchange for credits usable within Anuma. This would effectively shift ZETA from a token tied to network security toward prepaid access to the application.

ZETA rose from around 4 cents ahead of the vote to 7 cents before giving up its gains. The token was recently down 16% over 24 hours at just under 6 cents.

Nearly $117 million worth of ZETA changed hands over the day against a market value of about $90 million, putting daily trading turnover above the token’s total capitalization.

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